In Alaska, the Democratic margin in the 2026 U.S. Senate race shifted +11.8 points from Harris's 2024 margin (R+13.8 in 2024, R+2.0 in 2026), counting all votes together. 38 of 40 State House districts moved toward Democrats, and the median State House district moved +11.6 points.
By Dem movement (2026 margin minus Harris's 2024 margin, in points):
The U.S. Religion Census reports by county, and Alaska's results are reported by State House district, so religion figures aren't matched for Alaska.
Dem movement is the 2026 Democratic margin in the state's top race (U.S. Senate) minus Harris's 2024 margin, in points. Religion columns are each group's share of the 2020 population, counting congregation members, not how people identify.
| State house district | Dem movement | 2024 margin | 2026 margin | Christian | Protestant | Evangelical | Catholic | No Congregation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State House District 38 | +44.2 | D+13.1 | D+57.3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 39 | +36.1 | D+12.7 | D+48.8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 40 | +35.1 | R+10.7 | D+24.4 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 18 | +32.5 | R+16.4 | D+16.1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 37 | +28.0 | R+7.0 | D+21.1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 32 | +19.9 | R+33.0 | R+13.1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 22 | +19.9 | D+1.3 | D+21.2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 19 | +19.2 | D+17.8 | D+37.0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 36 | +19.1 | R+22.8 | R+3.7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 31 | +15.5 | R+3.5 | D+12.0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 5 | +14.6 | R+13.3 | D+1.3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 34 | +14.6 | R+21.6 | R+7.1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 27 | +13.7 | R+57.9 | R+44.3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 4 | +13.6 | D+39.2 | D+52.8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 13 | +13.5 | D+1.3 | D+14.8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 7 | +13.5 | R+45.9 | R+32.4 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 2 | +13.2 | D+0.4 | D+13.6 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 25 | +12.8 | R+37.0 | R+24.2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 35 | +12.5 | D+5.3 | D+17.8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 17 | +11.7 | D+34.9 | D+46.6 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 20 | +11.6 | D+12.7 | D+24.3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 33 | +11.6 | R+52.9 | R+41.4 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 26 | +11.3 | R+56.0 | R+44.7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 6 | +11.3 | R+16.8 | R+5.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 28 | +11.2 | R+50.4 | R+39.3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 3 | +9.9 | D+15.4 | D+25.2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 23 | +9.7 | R+19.4 | R+9.7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 29 | +8.9 | R+46.5 | R+37.6 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 24 | +8.7 | R+33.4 | R+24.7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 14 | +8.5 | D+22.2 | D+30.6 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 21 | +8.3 | D+8.4 | D+16.7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 10 | +7.2 | R+3.4 | D+3.8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 12 | +7.1 | D+1.3 | D+8.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 1 | +6.9 | R+18.2 | R+11.3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 16 | +6.1 | D+15.3 | D+21.4 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 15 | +5.9 | R+2.6 | D+3.3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 8 | +4.6 | R+51.0 | R+46.4 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 30 | +3.1 | R+46.0 | R+43.0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 9 | −0.6 | D+2.3 | D+1.7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| State House District 11 | −1.0 | R+2.4 | R+3.4 | — | — | — | — | — |
"House vs. 2024" compares the 2026 House margin with Harris's 2024 margin inside the district's current lines (NBC News's district baseline); it is blank where only one party ran, where two candidates of one party met in a top-two race, or where NBC has no 2024 baseline. "Top race, from its counties" averages the county Dem movement of the district's counties, weighted by each county's House votes.
| District | Winner | House vs. 2024 | Top race, from its counties | 2024 president | 2026 House | Christian | Evangelical | Catholic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-AL | — | — | +11.8 | — | — | — | — | — |
Data: download the full report and all data. Method: how it's measured.