Which Hawaii counties moved most toward Democrats in 2026?
By Dem movement (2026 margin minus Harris's 2024 margin, in points):
- Honolulu County: +21.9
- Kauai County: +15.4
- Hawaii County: +12.6
- Maui County: +12.1
Hawaii: 2026 election results by county and religion
How much did Hawaii move toward Democrats in 2026?
In Hawaii, the Democratic margin in the 2026 U.S. House race shifted +18.7 points from Harris's 2024 margin (D+23.1 in 2024, D+41.8 in 2026), counting all votes together. 4 of 4 counties moved toward Democrats, and the median county moved +14.0 points.
Map of Dem movement by county in Hawaii
R +30D +30Blue moved toward Democrats, red toward Republicans; the deeper the color, the bigger the move. Hover or tap a county for details.
Which Hawaii counties have the largest Christian share, and how did they move?
Share of the 2020 population belonging to a Christian congregation (leaving out counties where members outnumber residents):
- Kauai County: 43.3% Christian, Dem movement +15.4
- Maui County: 43.2% Christian, Dem movement +12.1
- Hawaii County: 37.5% Christian, Dem movement +12.6
- Honolulu County: 34.2% Christian, Dem movement +21.9
Hawaii counties ranked by Dem movement
Dem movement is the 2026 Democratic margin in the state's top race (U.S. House; no Senate race) minus Harris's 2024 margin, in points. Religion columns are each group's share of the 2020 population, counting congregation members, not how people identify.
| County | Dem movement | 2024 margin | 2026 margin | Christian | Protestant | Evangelical | Catholic | No Congregation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honolulu County | +21.9 | D+21.6 | D+43.5 | 34.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 18.0% | 61.5% |
| Kauai County | +15.4 | D+19.5 | D+34.9 | 43.3% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 19.3% | 53.0% |
| Hawaii County | +12.6 | D+28.3 | D+40.9 | 37.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 19.3% | 58.2% |
| Maui County | +12.1 | D+25.9 | D+38.0 | 43.2% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 53.4% |
Hawaii congressional districts
"House vs. 2024" compares the 2026 House margin with Harris's 2024 margin inside the district's current lines (NBC News's district baseline); it is blank where only one party ran, where two candidates of one party met in a top-two race, or where NBC has no 2024 baseline. "Top race, from its counties" averages the county Dem movement of the district's counties, weighted by each county's House votes.
| District | Winner | House vs. 2024 | Top race, from its counties | 2024 president | 2026 House | Christian | Evangelical | Catholic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HI-01 | Case (D) | +25.6 | +21.9 | D+25.2 | D+50.8 | 34.2% | 8.1% | 18.0% |
| HI-02 | Tokuda (D) | +12.2 | +15.7 | D+22.1 | D+34.2 | 38.6% | 9.7% | 19.3% |
Data: download the full report and all data. Method: how it's measured.