Which New Jersey counties moved most toward Democrats in 2026?
By Dem movement (2026 margin minus Harris's 2024 margin, in points):
- Hudson County: +31.6
- Passaic County: +30.8
- Middlesex County: +27.1
- Ocean County: +26.9
- Union County: +21.1
New Jersey: 2026 election results by county and religion
How much did New Jersey move toward Democrats in 2026?
In New Jersey, the Democratic margin in the 2026 U.S. Senate race shifted +20.9 points from Harris's 2024 margin (D+5.9 in 2024, D+26.8 in 2026), counting all votes together. 21 of 21 counties moved toward Democrats, and the median county moved +18.5 points.
Map of Dem movement by county in New Jersey
R +30D +30Blue moved toward Democrats, red toward Republicans; the deeper the color, the bigger the move. Hover or tap a county for details.
Which New Jersey counties have the largest Christian share, and how did they move?
Share of the 2020 population belonging to a Christian congregation (leaving out counties where members outnumber residents):
- Cape May County: 65.3% Christian, Dem movement +10.7
- Gloucester County: 56.5% Christian, Dem movement +21.0
- Camden County: 56.1% Christian, Dem movement +19.1
- Monmouth County: 52.5% Christian, Dem movement +17.1
- Bergen County: 51.1% Christian, Dem movement +21.0
New Jersey counties ranked by Dem movement
Dem movement is the 2026 Democratic margin in the state's top race (U.S. Senate) minus Harris's 2024 margin, in points. Religion columns are each group's share of the 2020 population, counting congregation members, not how people identify.
| County | Dem movement | 2024 margin | 2026 margin | Christian | Protestant | Evangelical | Catholic | No Congregation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson County | +31.6 | D+28.1 | D+59.7 | 40.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 29.7% | 50.6% |
| Passaic County | +30.8 | R+2.9 | D+27.9 | 45.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 35.0% | 40.1% |
| Middlesex County | +27.1 | D+8.0 | D+35.1 | 40.3% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 29.8% | 50.2% |
| Ocean County | +26.9 | R+36.0 | R+9.1 | 32.0% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 24.6% | 59.1% |
| Union County | +21.1 | D+24.2 | D+45.3 | 50.0% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 35.0% | 43.5% |
| Gloucester County | +21.0 | R+2.8 | D+18.2 | 56.5% | 16.0% | 9.9% | 39.9% | 40.6% |
| Bergen County | +21.0 | D+3.4 | D+24.4 | 51.1% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 39.6% | 41.7% |
| Cumberland County | +19.3 | R+3.8 | D+15.5 | 42.3% | 19.0% | 9.9% | 20.9% | 56.2% |
| Camden County | +19.1 | D+27.4 | D+46.6 | 56.1% | 16.1% | 7.5% | 38.2% | 36.5% |
| Warren County | +18.8 | R+20.7 | R+1.9 | 31.5% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 19.0% | 66.7% |
| Sussex County | +18.5 | R+24.9 | R+6.5 | 29.8% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 21.9% | 70.1% |
| Mercer County | +17.7 | D+33.9 | D+51.5 | 43.9% | 14.4% | 5.5% | 27.8% | 52.2% |
| Monmouth County | +17.1 | R+11.4 | D+5.7 | 52.5% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 42.3% | 42.6% |
| Atlantic County | +17.0 | R+3.0 | D+14.0 | 47.3% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 30.4% | 46.1% |
| Somerset County | +16.8 | D+13.9 | D+30.7 | 41.3% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 28.4% | 49.8% |
| Essex County | +16.4 | D+44.9 | D+61.2 | 46.0% | 15.0% | 5.6% | 28.4% | 46.1% |
| Burlington County | +16.3 | D+16.6 | D+32.9 | 34.5% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 22.2% | 62.0% |
| Salem County | +15.5 | R+19.2 | R+3.7 | 29.0% | 15.3% | 5.3% | 11.9% | 67.1% |
| Morris County | +14.8 | R+2.7 | D+12.1 | 48.2% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 35.3% | 42.5% |
| Hunterdon County | +13.9 | R+6.7 | D+7.3 | 37.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 26.8% | 61.0% |
| Cape May County | +10.7 | R+19.2 | R+8.5 | 65.3% | 18.3% | 9.9% | 45.5% | 34.7% |
New Jersey congressional districts
"House vs. 2024" compares the 2026 House margin with Harris's 2024 margin inside the district's current lines (NBC News's district baseline); it is blank where only one party ran, where two candidates of one party met in a top-two race, or where NBC has no 2024 baseline. "Top race, from its counties" averages the county Dem movement of the district's counties, weighted by each county's House votes.
| District | Winner | House vs. 2024 | Top race, from its counties | 2024 president | 2026 House | Christian | Evangelical | Catholic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ-01 | Norcross (D) | +21.3 | +19.6 | D+19.0 | D+40.3 | 55.5% | 8.2% | 38.2% |
| NJ-02 | — | +15.4 | +18.4 | R+12.7 | D+2.6 | 46.4% | 8.4% | 30.0% |
| NJ-03 | Conaway (D) | +18.4 | +16.7 | D+8.5 | D+26.9 | 40.3% | 4.7% | 27.7% |
| NJ-04 | Smith (R) | +12.3 | +23.4 | R+30.5 | R+18.2 | 39.4% | 2.8% | 31.0% |
| NJ-05 | Gottheimer (D) | +26.2 | +21.5 | D+1.5 | D+27.7 | 48.3% | 3.6% | 37.2% |
| NJ-06 | Pallone (D) | +31.5 | +23.3 | D+6.6 | D+38.1 | 44.9% | 3.7% | 34.5% |
| NJ-07 | Bennett (D) | +16.9 | +17.4 | R+1.2 | D+15.7 | 41.7% | 4.2% | 29.1% |
| NJ-08 | Menendez (D) | — | +28.8 | — | — | 42.3% | 5.0% | 30.3% |
| NJ-09 | Pou (D) | +36.1 | +26.1 | R+1.2 | D+34.9 | 48.0% | 4.7% | 36.9% |
| NJ-10 | McIver (D) | +17.1 | +20.1 | D+51.7 | D+68.8 | 46.5% | 5.6% | 30.8% |
| NJ-11 | Mejia (D) | +12.3 | +16.9 | D+8.9 | D+21.2 | 47.2% | 5.7% | 32.7% |
| NJ-12 | Hamawy (D) | +17.3 | +21.9 | D+24.5 | D+41.9 | 41.8% | 4.4% | 29.2% |
Data: download the full report and all data. Method: how it's measured.