Which Oregon counties moved most toward Democrats in 2026?
By Dem movement (2026 margin minus Harris's 2024 margin, in points):
- Lincoln County: +13.7
- Gilliam County: +10.2
- Marion County: +9.2
- Morrow County: +9.0
- Jefferson County: +6.6
Oregon: 2026 election results by county and religion
How much did Oregon move toward Democrats in 2026?
In Oregon, the Democratic margin in the 2026 U.S. Senate race shifted +2.5 points from Harris's 2024 margin (D+14.4 in 2024, D+16.9 in 2026), counting all votes together. 36 of 36 counties moved toward Democrats, and the median county moved +4.7 points.
Map of Dem movement by county in Oregon
R +30D +30Blue moved toward Democrats, red toward Republicans; the deeper the color, the bigger the move. Hover or tap a county for details.
Which Oregon counties have the largest Christian share, and how did they move?
Share of the 2020 population belonging to a Christian congregation (leaving out counties where members outnumber residents):
- Marion County: 45.6% Christian, Dem movement +9.2
- Malheur County: 42.7% Christian, Dem movement +6.2
- Umatilla County: 40.1% Christian, Dem movement +6.1
- Hood River County: 38.0% Christian, Dem movement +5.8
- Clackamas County: 36.6% Christian, Dem movement +4.0
Oregon counties ranked by Dem movement
Dem movement is the 2026 Democratic margin in the state's top race (U.S. Senate) minus Harris's 2024 margin, in points. Religion columns are each group's share of the 2020 population, counting congregation members, not how people identify.
| County | Dem movement | 2024 margin | 2026 margin | Christian | Protestant | Evangelical | Catholic | No Congregation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln County | +13.7 | D+18.4 | D+32.1 | 21.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 78.0% |
| Gilliam County | +10.2 | R+45.5 | R+35.3 | 16.6% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 83.2% |
| Marion County | +9.2 | R+2.0 | D+7.2 | 45.6% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 22.7% | 54.1% |
| Morrow County | +9.0 | R+48.4 | R+39.4 | 34.4% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 65.5% |
| Jefferson County | +6.6 | R+30.2 | R+23.6 | 28.8% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 71.0% |
| Wasco County | +6.4 | R+5.7 | D+0.7 | 24.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 74.8% |
| Malheur County | +6.2 | R+44.4 | R+38.1 | 42.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 53.0% |
| Jackson County | +6.2 | R+6.4 | R+0.2 | 27.1% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 71.8% |
| Harney County | +6.2 | R+59.4 | R+53.2 | 25.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 73.9% |
| Umatilla County | +6.1 | R+37.8 | R+31.7 | 40.1% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 59.8% |
| Columbia County | +5.9 | R+13.9 | R+8.0 | 23.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 76.1% |
| Hood River County | +5.8 | D+35.7 | D+41.5 | 38.0% | 19.6% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 60.5% |
| Baker County | +5.7 | R+49.2 | R+43.4 | 32.6% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 6.6% | 67.3% |
| Grant County | +5.7 | R+60.4 | R+54.7 | 23.9% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 75.9% |
| Deschutes County | +5.4 | D+10.1 | D+15.5 | 28.6% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 5.9% | 70.7% |
| Josephine County | +5.3 | R+29.1 | R+23.7 | 30.6% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 5.3% | 69.1% |
| Yamhill County | +5.1 | R+6.1 | R+1.0 | 29.2% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 70.6% |
| Clatsop County | +4.9 | D+11.4 | D+16.3 | 30.3% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 6.0% | 69.3% |
| Klamath County | +4.5 | R+41.9 | R+37.4 | 30.0% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 69.8% |
| Washington County | +4.2 | D+34.0 | D+38.2 | 30.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 65.6% |
| Douglas County | +4.1 | R+37.7 | R+33.6 | 30.4% | 20.9% | 18.3% | 3.9% | 69.4% |
| Clackamas County | +4.0 | D+9.7 | D+13.8 | 36.6% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 62.3% |
| Sherman County | +4.0 | R+56.9 | R+52.9 | 18.0% | 12.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 81.6% |
| Multnomah County | +4.0 | D+62.1 | D+66.1 | 33.0% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 64.9% |
| Curry County | +3.8 | R+16.1 | R+12.3 | 22.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 76.4% |
| Lane County | +3.8 | D+23.1 | D+26.9 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 76.2% |
| Tillamook County | +3.8 | R+1.4 | D+2.4 | 28.9% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 70.2% |
| Linn County | +3.7 | R+24.4 | R+20.7 | 35.3% | 21.0% | 18.8% | 8.5% | 64.6% |
| Lake County | +3.2 | R+65.3 | R+62.1 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 78.5% |
| Coos County | +3.2 | R+19.9 | R+16.7 | 26.6% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 73.2% |
| Wheeler County | +3.1 | R+47.0 | R+44.0 | 35.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 64.2% |
| Crook County | +2.9 | R+50.8 | R+48.0 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 77.0% |
| Polk County | +2.5 | R+3.8 | R+1.3 | 24.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 74.8% |
| Union County | +2.5 | R+40.6 | R+38.1 | 34.2% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 4.7% | 65.7% |
| Benton County | +1.1 | D+39.6 | D+40.7 | 26.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 13.5% | 72.0% |
| Wallowa County | +1.1 | R+35.3 | R+34.2 | 23.5% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 75.6% |
Oregon congressional districts
"House vs. 2024" compares the 2026 House margin with Harris's 2024 margin inside the district's current lines (NBC News's district baseline); it is blank where only one party ran, where two candidates of one party met in a top-two race, or where NBC has no 2024 baseline. "Top race, from its counties" averages the county Dem movement of the district's counties, weighted by each county's House votes.
| District | Winner | House vs. 2024 | Top race, from its counties | 2024 president | 2026 House | Christian | Evangelical | Catholic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR-01 | Bonamici (D) | +0.8 | +4.4 | D+39.1 | D+39.9 | 30.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% |
| OR-02 | Bentz (R) | +4.7 | +5.5 | R+27.9 | R+23.2 | 29.7% | 13.5% | 7.4% |
| OR-03 | Dexter (D) | +5.7 | +4.1 | D+47.6 | D+53.3 | 33.7% | 11.4% | 15.5% |
| OR-04 | Hoyle (D) | −1.2 | +3.9 | D+12.3 | D+11.2 | 24.5% | 10.7% | 6.8% |
| OR-05 | Bynum (D) | +1.7 | +4.6 | D+8.8 | D+10.5 | 34.1% | 16.5% | 10.3% |
| OR-06 | Salinas (D) | — | +5.5 | — | D+16.1 | 33.9% | 13.0% | 13.0% |
Data: download the full report and all data. Method: how it's measured.